Interview Security & DevSecOps

What is EPSS, and how does it improve on raw CVSS? [Intermediate]

Answer

EPSS is the Exploit Prediction Scoring System. It estimates the probability that a CVE will be exploited in the wild in the near future. It improves prioritization because it adds likelihood-of-exploitation signals instead of relying only on theoretical severity.

Technical explanation

CVSS describes severity if exploited; EPSS helps estimate how likely exploitation is.

EPSS is useful for prioritizing large vulnerability backlogs where teams cannot patch everything immediately.

It should be combined with asset exposure and business impact because likely exploitation on a low-value isolated asset may still be lower priority than a sensitive exposed system.

Hands-on example

Example: create a vulnerability rule: emergency if KEV=true, or EPSS above 0.7 and internet_exposed=true, or CVSS critical plus sensitive_data=true. Otherwise assign standard SLAs based on contextual risk.

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